Friends and family, Samstar gets his 6th race at Canterbury tonight in the 10th. Though he has been the favorite and picked by the public handicappers before, this time I may just agree with them. I don't manage him, and bi-weekly racing since mid May for a young 3 year old is pretty tough. He is also better as a two turn horse (10 points higher speeds consistently) and he has no early lick, though he seems to be used by the mid way point every race. Maybe with a change to Seth Martinez as the jockey, and a different approach, we will have a better result.
Seth has been riding near 122 so we may get a +4 pounds tonight, which matters in my handicapping book at two turns on warm days. Nevertheless, we run at 11:03 tonight so it should be a bit cooler, and Seth's riding talent may easily be worth the extra pounds.
Our other managed 3 year olds, which I recommended as good plays two weeks ago, have already won. In fact, our Minnie Soda Nice beat Samstar the last time out by 6 lengths. With Minnie now out of the maiden ranks, I think Samstar should get there if his head is right tonight. Good Luck if you play him.....and yes, this was him with his mama as a baby.
Dave Astar is a race horse owner, stallion owner, breeder, 40 year business executive, and 50 year handicapper.