A new Thoroughbred breeder asked for advice about breeding a mare recently. One of the many things I suggested was that they do some research.
As many of you know, one of the highest "actual statistical" correlations to successfully breeding a high quality racing foal has more to do with the actual racetrack performance of the parents than any other factor. However, pedigree analysis related to sires lines that have been previously crossed to produce successful foals (Nicking) also plays a factor in breeding. Nicking is not nearly as important as the people that sell themselves as experts in this regard would have you believe.
While you can pay nicking services to produce a simplistic grade for you, or pay a bloodstock agent to offer their expert advice, I always suggest going straight to the core data. You can retrieve this data in various places but I personally utilize Bloodstock research for this information. There I can find out exactly what percentage of the time certain crosses are successful, how many crosses were involved and how recent they were.
Be extracting reports based on sire's sire nick, broodmare's sire nick, broodmare's sire sire nick or broodmare's sire with 2nd dam's sire nick, you will have the exact data required to "properly analyze" the importance and credibility of breeding your broodmare to a certain sire. Here's the web address for those BRISNET reports.
Of course this takes more time than paying for a silly nicking grade, but often those grades are based upon ancient generational crosses of next to no credibility.
For more on breeding and nicking, and the best article ever written on why nicking is overvalued (almost 20 year old article). go to our webpage on breeding. Here's the link to that page.
Breeding Web Page
Dave Astar is a race horse owner, stallion owner, breeder, 40 year business executive, and 50 year handicapper.